Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.550862 2.908612 3.289024 3.722623 4.202093 4.715006 5.304109
2024-12-22 1.896268 2.388477 2.953985 3.646974 4.468196 5.405105 6.549295
2024-12-29 1.543101 2.122495 2.834489 3.761964 4.925258 6.322436 8.112363
2025-01-05 1.283832 1.912521 2.732856 3.859758 5.342944 7.202018 9.678360
2025-01-12 1.042754 1.677254 2.553579 3.818060 5.556580 7.820009 10.939560
2025-01-19 0.891563 1.536914 2.474458 3.886497 5.901736 8.610573 12.451139
2025-01-26 0.766630 1.411831 2.394857 3.935169 6.209302 9.354814 13.927537
2025-02-02 0.667985 1.309896 2.332580 3.994568 6.525057 10.116007 15.453430
2025-02-09 0.571832 1.194987 2.233131 3.981865 6.725068 10.714597 16.770575
2025-02-16 0.482821 1.076638 2.111419 3.917531 6.834511 11.178480 17.906552
2025-02-23 0.424617 1.004552 2.056883 3.952351 7.092629 11.865963 19.387768
2025-03-02 0.362100 0.912716 1.955570 3.896599 7.197794 12.321625 20.537876
2025-03-09 0.323292 0.864319 1.930056 3.973345 7.530760 13.155187 22.313346
2025-03-16 0.279708 0.797790 1.862751 3.970281 7.731430 13.794063 23.824148
2025-03-23 0.258589 0.778056 1.883634 4.128053 8.213147 14.899226 26.099702
2025-03-30 0.236063 0.750619 1.885328 4.248916 8.636396 15.926929 28.291269
2025-04-06 0.202632 0.688927 1.807846 4.210395 8.773868 16.491013 29.765709
2025-04-13 0.182562 0.657629 1.790988 4.287452 9.120821 17.413558 31.845219
2025-04-20 0.163230 0.624001 1.764395 4.341478 9.426596 18.276745 33.855208
2025-04-27 0.146839 0.595037 1.744487 4.406420 9.754371 19.187921 35.971717
2025-05-04 0.127954 0.553770 1.689933 4.392892 9.930790 19.842487 37.680946
2025-05-11 0.108776 0.506156 1.613013 4.323248 9.992653 20.296149 39.064200
2025-05-18 0.096986 0.480090 1.586447 4.361046 10.265115 21.129970 41.114939